Monday, August 4, 2014

Trading Tips for the Day - 4 August 2014

FKLI will likely open a little lower, for the first trade today, one can attempt to Short 1-3 points above the opening price.  Try get 5-7 points profit and put a stop 5 point away from your entry point.  Close your position by the end of the day.

For FCPO, market rose on Friday on good support throughout the session. Buying was encouraged by continued weakness in the ringgit, which lost about 0.4 pct vs USD. Some bargain buying on ideas that prices were relatively low added support. Weekend short covering and technical correction from the oversold situation in the RSI magnified gains. Prices rose 4 to 25 higher in the morning and firmed to 30 higher in the afternoon.

Fundamentals are little changed. July production may turn out to be lower than the expected 10 pct increase which may result in further drop in stocks. This will keep stocks manageable as production enters the August - October peak period. Meanwhile, weather forecast in the US and India are reportedly good and is negative. However, prices of palm oil and soyoil are relatively low currently and will be sensitive to any positive development.

Technical view - the strong showing today puts prices in a 2250 - 2300 trading range. Breakouts from these levels may see the next major move.  Trend down ; RSI 37.30 ; parabolic SAR at 2287 ; support 2250 / 2200 / 2135 ; resistance 2300 / 2345 / 2400.

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